Review Without Hindsight
A lucky outcome can hide a weak decision
Review Without Hindsight
An outcome and a decision process are different things. A careful choice can go badly because of an unlikely event; a careless choice can succeed through luck. To learn fairly, record your reasons and expectations before acting, then compare them with what happened. Ask whether the information was used well, whether an important possibility was missed, and what should change next time. Do not pretend the eventual outcome was obvious all along.
Where this sits in the course
“Review Without Hindsight” is lesson 3 of 3 in Decisions You Can Explain, a course about make tradeoffs visible and learn from outcomes without hindsight.. The lessons are sequenced rather than a menu, so this one assumes what came before it.
Decisions You Can Explain is itself one of 18 courses in thinkr. The set opens with what philosophy is, moves through the Stoics and the Eastern traditions, then into what can be known, what exists, how to act and how power works — closing on practical reasoning you can use in an argument this week.
In the app this lesson is followed by 4 exercises that check whether the idea actually landed — and every answer, right or wrong, is explained rather than scored. That is the part a written page cannot reproduce.