Cause or Coincidence?
Look for the missing comparison
Cause or Coincidence?
When two things move together, one may cause the other, the direction may run the other way, or a third factor may affect both. A café changes its sign and gets busier during a festival. The sign may have helped, but the festival offers another explanation. Ask what would probably have happened without the change. A useful comparison makes competing explanations harder to sustain; it does not merely repeat the pattern you already noticed.
Where this sits in the course
“Cause or Coincidence?” is lesson 2 of 3 in Read Beyond the Headline, a course about check sources, test explanations, and change your mind with reasons.. The lessons are sequenced rather than a menu, so this one assumes what came before it.
Read Beyond the Headline is itself one of 18 courses in thinkr. The set opens with what philosophy is, moves through the Stoics and the Eastern traditions, then into what can be known, what exists, how to act and how power works — closing on practical reasoning you can use in an argument this week.
In the app this lesson is followed by 4 exercises that check whether the idea actually landed — and every answer, right or wrong, is explained rather than scored. That is the part a written page cannot reproduce.